OLYMPEX

Science Summary for 5-6 December 2015
A Broad Frontal Cloud System with Strong Wind Shear


Prepared by
  Robert A. Houze, Jr.
with contributions from
Scott Braun, Brenda Dolan, Steve Durden, Jay Mace,
Roger Marchand, Joe Munchak
, and Joe Zagrodnik,


NOTES:
The dates start at 0000 UTC.
This report may be updated as new information becomes available.
Data discussed here were compiled in near real time and have not yet been quality controlled.
Updated reports can be found at http://olympex.atmos.washington.edu/index.html?x=Science_Summaries



This storm was a classic Pacific Northwest frontal system. It was sampled by a GPM/GMI overpass and by all of the OLYMPEX aircraft, radars, and ground sites. The aircraft sampled and extensive stratiform precipitation area in the earlier phase of the storm and the beginning of a shear-induced Kelvin-Helmholtz wave outbreak in the central part of the storm. After the aircraft flights, the NPOL and DOW radars documented the continuation and maturation of the KH wave outbreak and the very brief post-frontal phase that overlapped the pre-frontal phase of the next baroclinic system.

The precipitation was divided between the UTC 24 h periods of the 5th and 6th of December. As can be seen from the precipitation maps in Figure 1, the two-day totals were ~100 mm through out the south and southwest Olympic Mountains, including the Quinault Valley. Over 200 mm occurred at some sites just to the south of the Quinault region. Figure 2 shows the trough moving over the area during the period of the satellite overpass and flights. Conditions at upper levels were cool enough that a significant portion of the precipitation at higher elevations was snow. An important feature of the storm was strong winds at both the 850 and 500 hPa levels. The surface maps in the lower panels of Figure 2 indicate an occluded frontal structure albeit with very weak temperature gradients. Surface meteorological observations show the passage of a broad trough at about 1200-1300 UTC 6 December with little temperature change and only gradual wind shift (Figure 3). Figure 4 shows that the soundings at 1500 and 1900 UTC 5 December at the NPOL site (during the time of the aircraft operations and satellite overpass) were indicating very strong southwesterly winds at levels 900 hPa and higher. At the surface the winds were moderate and southeasterly at these times. The strong shear at low levels had profound effects on the radar echoes at NPOL and DOW, as will be shown below. The period of strong winds and shear were also captured by the profiler at Forks (see Figure 5) between 1400 UTC 5 December and 0200 UTC 6 December. By 0500 UTC 6 December the sounding in the right panel of Figure 4 and the profiler data in Figure 5 show that the winds aloft had weakened and the surface wind had become south-southwesterly even though the trough had not yet passed. The fall velocities in Figure 5 further show that the 0°C level began lowering before the trough passage at the surface.

The satellite/radar overlays in Figure 6 show the progression of the cloud and precipitation pattern across the OLYMPEX region. The top row of images show the cloud pattern in the time period bracketing the GPM overpass and aircraft flight. Note that the storm continued to move across the region for many hours after that time, and the OLYMPEX radars continued to document extremely important phenomena over the land after the time of the flights. The sequence of images in Figure 7 show that the three aircraft flew coordinated missions in the heart of the precipitation both over the ocean and over land throughout the time period of the satellite overpass. The left panel of Figure 8 shows the location of the GPM overpass. It was ideally located for evaluation of the GMI passive microwave sensors on the satellite. The GMI images obtained by the satellite on the overpass are in the right panel of Figure 8. The CPL lidar aboard the ER2 aircraft (Figure 9) shows the cloud top to have been near 11 km throughout the region of the flights. The APR2 radar on the DC8 was obtaining data throughout the flight. The example of APR2 data in Figure 10 shows the relatively uniform stratiform precipitation over the ocean and a jagged echo pattern over the mountain slopes. This jagged pattern may be related to the KH wave activity seen on the NPOL and DOW radars, which will be described below. 

One of the most interesting observations in this storm is the appearance of KH waves, which have been seen in the central parts baroclinic cloud systems passing over the Alps, Cascades, and Sierra Nevada range in previous field program. This storm is their first appearance in OLYMPEX; the shear described above was apparently needed for the waves to manifest, as has been previously hypothesized in those previous studies. Figure 11 shows the waves on the NPOL radar at two times. At 1535 UTC (left column), during the time of the flights described above, the waves were beginning to develop. They persisted for several hours, as is typical from previous studies. The right column shows the waves more strongly developed at 1935 UTC. Note that the waves are striking in the radial velocity field (second row of Figure 11). In the third row of Figure 11 they are seen to produce a "braid echo" pattern in the velocity spectral width (which is dominated by shear). The braid echoes are known to be characteristic of KH waves. Importantly, the dual-polarimetric fields ZDR and rhohv
(5th and 6th rows of Figure 11) as well as reflectivity (top row) indicate that a microphysical signature is associated with the waves, which has been hypothesized in the literature. The particle identification field in the 7th row of Figure 11 also indicates a microphysical impact; however, the algorithm needs to be corrected for that field to be trustworthy. The particle identification field is a function of temperature, which is only estimated in these quick-look images. The DOW data in the Quinault Valley also detected the KH waves (Figure 12). The examples from the DOW are at 1538, 1928, and 2259 UTC on 5 December. However, close inspection of the DOW data show that the waves were present in weakening form until ~0300-0400 UTC on 6 December.

The particle size distributions in the Quinault region mostly showed broad distributions containing large particles (Figure 13). These are the types of distributions that occur when substantial parts of the precipitation are from melted snow. At higher elevations some of the precipitation was in the form of snow. The Neilton Point data in Figure 13 show some particles reaching 7-8 mm, which are almost surely snow. On the leeside of the Olympic Range, rain shadow dynamics prevented large precipitation accumulations (Figure 1). However, light snow was falling throughout the period of the storm at Hurricane Ridge (see the radar data from the Environment Canada X-band radar in Figure 14). From about 1200 UTC on 5 December until about 0600 on 6 December, the snow was mixed with light rain at the Hurricane Ridge site (Figure 15).






Figure 1. Precipitation accumulation on 5-6 December 2015.












Figure 2.  Synoptic situation on 5-6 December 2015.




Figure 3.  Surface observations at Hoquiam, Washington, 4-6 December 2015.







Figure 4.  Soundings at NPOL on 5-6 December 2015.





Figure 5.  Profiler data from Forks, Washington, 4-6 December 2015.











Figure 6.  Infrared satellite images and NEXRAD radar reflectivity 5-6 December 2015.










Figure 7.  Aircraft tracks superimposed on NPOL reflectivity, 5 December 2015.






Figure 8.  Location of GPM overpass on 5 December and GMI imagery obtained at that time.




Figure 9.  CPL lidar data obtained aboard the ER2 aircraft on 5 December 2015.





Figure 10.  APR2 radar data obtained aboard the DC8 aircraft on December 2015.
















Figure 11.  RHIs of (top to bottom) reflectivity, radial velocity, spectral width, ZDR, rhohv, and inferred particle type obtained by the NPOL radar at 1535 and 1935 UTC 5 December 2015.


















Figure 12.  RHIs of (top to bottom) reflectivity, radial velocity, spectral width, ZDR, and rhohv by the NPOL radar at 1538, 1928, and 2258 UTC 5 December 2015.








Figure 13.  Particle size distributions measured at ground sites, 5-6 December 2015.







Figure 14.  RHIs of vertical velocity obtained by the Environment Canada X-band radar directed over Hurricane Ridge (47 km range) on 5-6 December 2015.






Figure 15.  Aircraft tracks superimposed on NPOL reflectivity, 5-6 December 2015.