OLYMPEX

Science Summary for 10 December 2015

  Occluded Front and Post-Frontal Convection


Prepared by
Hannah C. Barnes
with contributions from Robert A. Houze Jr.,
Joe Munchak, Joe Zagrodnik,
Brenda Dolan, Jay Mace, and Steve Durden


NOTES:
The dates start at 0000 UTC.
This report may be updated as new information becomes available.
Data discussed here were compiled in near real time and have not yet been quality controlled.
Updated reports can be found at http://olympex.atmos.washington.edu/index.html?x=Science_Summaries



An occluded front rapidly propagated through the OLYMPEX domain early in the day on 10 December. An extended period of post-frontal convection then rapidly developed and was sustained for most of the day. This is the best example of post-frontal convection observed during OLYMPEX to date. All three aircraft and radars were successfully deployed during this event. Most of the ground instruments were functional.

Precipitation accumulations for today show notable orographic enhancement with the high terrain observing 2-3 times as much precipitation as the coast (Figure 1).

Using terminology coined by the National Weather Service in Seattle, the stampede of shortwaves continued today. The top row of Figure 2 shows that the current shortwave is associated with a cutoff low at 500 hPa. This cutoff low moved slightly towards the northeast throughout the day and wrapped in cold air behind it. While it was moist at 925 hPa during the passage of the occluded front, the atmosphere dried by 1800 UTC (middle row of Figure 2).  At the surface a very weak temperature gradient was observed at 0600 UTC in association with the occluded front (bottom row of Figure 2). By 1800 UTC the surface low pressure was center just off Vancouver Island, British Columbia. At all levels, winds transitioned from southwesterly to westerly as the low moved northeastward. Soundings taken in Victoria, British Columbia, and NPOL indicate that low-level winds were initially backing, suggesting cold air advection (Figure 3). However, as the post-front convection developed both locations had weakly veering low-level wind suggesting warm air advection. Additionally, both locations observed a large drop in the tropopause following the occluded front as cold air wrapped around the low pressure center. In general, soundings in Victoria were drier than soundings at NPOL, especially below 800 hPa.

Infrared satellite imagery in Figure 4 shows that cold cloud tops associated with the occluded front became increasingly meridionally extended and colder as the system propagated into the Pacific Northwest. The coldest cloud top temperatures were located for the OLYMPEX domain at approximately 0900 UTC 10 December. The post-frontal convection immediately followed the occluded front and the convective elements seen in the IR imagery became colder and larger throughout the day. Figure 5 shows a time sequence of the Langley Hill and NPOL radar PPIs with the DC-8, ER-2, and Citation flight paths overlaid. A band of stratiform precipitation propagated northeastward in association with the occluded front between 0700 and 1100 UTC (top middle panel of Figure 5). Figure 6 shows that both the D3R and DOW radars observed deep stratiform precipitation with a strong brightband near 1 km. Unlike many of our previous stratiform precipitation events, the DOW radar indicated that this stratiform precipitation was associated with differential reflectivities near 0 dBZ. A deep layer of easterly-component flow was  observed during the occluded frontal passage. The overriding westerly-component flow was separated from the low-level easterly-component flow by strong shear and was rising over the terrain.

Post-frontal convection developed rapidly and was most expansive between 1100 and 1900 UTC. All three aircraft were in flight during this time. The DC-8 executed a series of loops that extended from the crest of the Olympics to the Pacific Ocean. Figure 7 shows that as the plane flew from the ocean to the mountains convection transitioned from scattered showers to regions of wider, contiguous deep convective elements. The NPOL and DOW radars showed a similar cloud population. Figure 8 shows two NPOL cross-sections of convective cells at 1800 UTC over the ocean. While some isolated cells were reaching nearly 9 km, most cells were only 5-6 km deep and very few of the cells were horizontally expansive. The top two rows of Figure 9 shows convection observed by the DOW radar over the Quinault Valley. Convection over the mountains repeatedly reached 9 km and was horizontally expansive, likely promoted by lifting of the westerly component flow over the terrain. The intense cell observed by the DOW radar at 1643 UTC (top row of Figure 9) had high reflectivity and differential reflectivity at the surface suggesting the presence of large drops. Scientists at the NPOL and DOW radars observed graupel on several occasions today. An example of one of these intense convective cells over the ocean is shown in Figure 10. AMPR's 85 GHz channel aboard the ER-2
(Figure 11) captured significant ice scattering in some of these oceanic cells (below 200 K), which is consistent observations of lightning in some of these cells. Comparing Figures 6 and 9 shows that the down-valley easterly-component flow was destroyed by the convective cells. Between 1500 and 1600 UTC the Citation conducted an ascending spiral and stacked legs through the DOW domain. Figure 12 shows that plane sampled convection that was becoming increasingly deep throughout this time. Scientists on board the aircraft observed aggregates at low levels, frequent capped columns at midlevels, and large crystals at upper levels. The bottom row of Figure 9 shows that convection became more isolated and shallower over the mountains late in the day.

Figure 13 shows that the particle size distribution varied markedly with altitude. The Beach House had two distinct regimes with a broad size distribution during the passage of the occluded front and short periods of narrow size distributions with lots of small drops occur between 1400 and 1500 UTC (top row). At Bishop/CRN the broad size distribution during the occluded front persisted for a shorter period of time, and high concentrations of small drops were observed almost continuously from 1100-1800 UTC (middle row). Prairie Creek (bottom row) also observed a broad size distribution for only a short period of time but the concentration of small drops between
1100 and 1800 UTC was much less than Bishop Creek. Of these three locations Bishop/CRN received the highest rain accumulations.

The Environment Canada X-Band radar showed strong convection over Hurricane Ridge associated with both the occluded front and post-frontal convection (Figure 14). The PIP instrument on Hurricane ridge indicated that precipitation was in the form of snow throughout the day (Figure 15).





Figure 1. Precipitation accumulation on 10 December 2015.










Figure 2. Synoptic maps at 500 hPa, 925 hPa, and the surface on 10 December 2015.










Figure 3. Rawinsonde data from the NPOL site and Victoria, BC on 10 December 2015.










Figure 4. Infrared satellite imagery every six hours from 00 UTC 10 December to 00 UTC 11 December.










Figure 5. Langley NEXRAD (top row) and NPOL radar (bottom row) PPIs of reflectivity and 30 min aircraft flight tracks centered at the indicated times on 10 December 2015. The DC-8 track is cyan. The ER-2 is orange. The Citation is purple. 









Figure 6. Ku-band RHI reflectivity data from D3R over the ocean at 0930 UTC 10 December. X-band RHI reflectivity, radial velocity, and differential reflectivity data from DOW at 1041 UTC 10 December.






Figure 7. APR2 radar data obtained aboard the DC-8 10 December 2015.








Figure 8. NPOL radar data obtained at 1827 UTC 10 December 2015. Cross-sections taken along line labeled TOP and BOTTOM, respectively.












Figure 9. DOW radar data obtained on 10 December 2015.






Figure 10. NPOL radar data obtained on 10 December 2015.





Figure 11. AMPR data obtained aboard the ER-2 on 10 December 2015.







Figure 12. DOW radar obtained on 10 December 2015 when the Citation was sampling the region.














Figure 13. Details of precipitation observed by Parsivel instruments and dual tipping buckets on 10 December 2015.






Figure 14. Environment Canada X-band radar data collected on 10 December 2015.




Figure 15. PIP data collected at Hurricane Ridge on 10 December 2015.