OLYMPEX

Science Summary for 3 December 2015

A Complex Baroclinic System with Orographically Enhanced Rain and
a GPM Overpass of the Olympic Mountains


Prepared by
  Robert A. Houze, Jr.
with contributions from Lynn McMurdie, Simone Tanelli
, Jay Mace, and Steve Nesbitt


NOTES:
The dates start at 0000 UTC.
This report may be updated as new information becomes available.
Data discussed here were compiled in near real time and have not yet been quality controlled.
Updated reports can be found at http://olympex.atmos.washington.edu/index.html?x=Science_Summaries



The 24 h period was extremely rainy in the OLYMPEX region, especially on the south facing slopes of the Olympic Mountains. A GPM core overpass was centered over the  Olympic Mountains during this rainy period (Figure 1), and the three OLYMPEX aircraft flew a coordinated mission timed to coincide with the overpass. The parent weather situation and cloud pattern was associated with a baroclinic short wave system undergoing a complex evolution. At 500 hPa, a trough was approaching and passing over the region (Figure 2, upper panels). At 925 hPa, the flow was very moist and initially southerly, changing to westerly (Figure 2, middle panels). At the surface, the air was warm with only a slight temperature gradient (Figure 2, lower panels). Surface observations support the presence of a weak front. The surface time series at Hoquiam and other coastal stations showed a somewhat frontal-like pressure minimum, wind shift, and temperature drop with the trough passage (Figure 3). The sounding at NPOL (Figure 4, left), obtained at the time of the overpass and when the aircraft were flying, showed saturated condition through the depth of the troposphere. The wind at most levels was strong south-southwesterly, which accounted for strong orographic enhancement of the baroclinically forced precipitation. The wind near the surface had an easterly component. The wind profiler at Forks (northwest coast of Washington) did not show the easterly component but rather showed the low level winds to be primarily southerly throughout 3 December until the shift to westerly at the end of the 24 h period, after the weak frontal passage (Figure 5). The sounding at the Environment Canada site in Victoria (Figure 4, right), northeast of the Olympic Mountains, also showed a deep cloud layer and dry southeasterly flowing air at low levels.

The infrared satellite sequence overlaid on the Langley and Camano radar reflectivity (Figure 6) illustrates the complexity of the cloud system associated with these synoptic conditions. Generally speaking, a great mass of high cloud top was moving over the region. At the time of the overpass and flights (see panels for 1313 and 1613 UTC), the cloud mass was breaking apart, probably in response to a wave formation over the ocean to the west. Despite this fracturing of the cloud pattern, considerable rainfall was occurring over the mountains and within the GPM overpass. The rain accumulations were especially large on the south facing slopes of the terrain (Figure 7). On the ridge on the south side of the Quinault Valley, rain amounts were ~100-200 mm. The OLYMPEX Wynoochee trailer site recorded ~200 mm (left panel, Figure 8). Amounts in the valley were also considerable but not as large; e.g., The Bishop/CRN site registered ~70 mm (right panel, Figure 8). The difference in these amounts is a rough indication of the degree of orographic modification.

The OLYMPEX radars, aircraft, and ground sites captured many details of this complex cloud pattern and orographic enhancement of the precipitation. Figure 9 shows the highly coordinated aircraft tracks superimposed on the NPOL radar reflectivity. The first part of the flight sample the downstream events on the north and northeast sides of the Olympic Mountains. During the time most closely corresponding to the GPM overpass (
Figure 1), the flights worked along lines parallel to the Quinault Valley. The NPOL RHIs in Figure 10 show the orographic enhancement of the precipitation occurring at the time of the overpass. Note the lifting of the layer of high wind passing over the terrain in the left panel. The middle and right panels show the enhancement of the reflectivity corresponding to the lifting over the mountains. The reflectivity at the far ranges in the RHI sector of the Environment Canada X-band (Figure 11, left) shows the deep layer of ice particle precipitation extending over the high terrain as it was advected across by the south-southwesterly winds. The PIP situated on Hurricane ridge recorded mostly rain (and mixed rain and snow) for most of day and then changing to mostly snow at the end of the period (Figure 11, right). The APR2 radar aboard the DC8 aircraft was also detecting the orographic enhancement during the time of the overpass (Figure 12). Note the echo enhancement over the terrain. The W-band radar was prominently indicating the enhancement of the ice-particle echo in the upper levels directly over the high terrain. The vertical structure in the Ku-Ka and Ka-W DFR above the melting level might indicate some growing aggregates (where KuKa DFR gets up to about 5 dB) in a thin layer near 4 km, and then a collapse in Ku-Ka DFR. Just below that, the KaW DFR is larger, and the KuKa DFR goes back to near 0 dBZ (indicating that the particles are likely collapsing down in dimension, and Mie scattering at Ku-Ka is reduced, but present at KaW). According to some recent literature this behavior could be an indication of the influence of riming on the particles in this layer between the freezing level and 3 km. Consistent with NPOL and APR2, the DOW radar in the Quinault Valley was also showing the rising of the maximum velocity layer over the terrain (Figure 13).

The tops of the clouds were sensed by the CPL lidar aboard the ER2. The examples in Figure 14 were taken around the time of the GPM overpass. They show the general cloud top level at about 11 km when they aircraft was above continuous portions of the cloud shield and highly variable tops over broken segments of the trough's cloud system. Meanwhile, the Citation was flying in cloud at various levels. Figure 15 shows examples of the images of aggregate ice particles that were sampled. It will require considerable further analysis to place these images in context.

Long after the flights the OLYMPEX radars continued to observe the complex precipitation evolution over the region. Figure 16 shows an unusual echo pattern that occurred at about 2000 UTC, NPOL detected a line of strong echo associated with a along a wind shift line in radial velocity. This echo line was probably a fragment exhibiting weakly frontogenetical properties. However, the feature was extremely shallow, extending up to only about 4 km, and it appeared to be a locally forced enhancement of the stratiform precipitation; it exhibited no convective properties. As can be seen in the later panels of Figure 6, several cloud lines were manifesting in the trailing part of the cloud pattern of the trough. The left panels of Figure 17 show one of these features to the west, and it was shallow, stratiform, and somewhat patchy in its precipitation. The right panels show another example, which was advected into the NPOL region by the south-southwesterly flow. It was somewhat deeper and had a very strong bright band at the melting level. Over the sloping terrain it appeared to have a lone convective element embedded, but the feature was almost entirely stratiform. Figure 18 shows how it looked in the D3R's Ku band reflectivity.



Figure 1. GPM overpass 3 December 2015








Figure 2. Synoptic conditions on 3 December 2015





Figure 3 Surface meteorological observations at Hoquiam, Washington






Figure 4. Rawinsonde data taken at NPOL (left) and Victoria (right) for 3 December 2015






Figure 5. Wind profiler data at Forks, Washington, 1-3 December 2015













Figure 6. Infrared satellite images superimposed on the Langley and Camano WSR88-D radar reflectivity between 1300 and 2230 UTC 3 December 2015.







Figure 7. Precipitation accumulation on 3 December 2015








Figure 8. Rain accumulation at two OLYMPEX ground sites, 3 December 2015.










Figure 9. OLYMPEX/RADEX aircraft tracks superimposed on NPOL reflectivity, 3 December 2015. DC8 cyan, ER2 orange, Citation green.







Figure 10. NPOL radar RHIs directed up the Quinault Valley at about 1515 UTC 3 December 2015.








Figure 11. Reflectivity RHI from the Environment Canada X-band radar, 3 December 2015. Hurricane Ridge is at about 47 km range.




Figure 12. APR2 radar data obtained aboard the DC8 aircraft. 



Figure 13. DOW radar radial velocity RHI directed up the Quinault Valley at about 1700 UTC 3 December 2015





Figure 14. CPL lidar data obtained aboard the ER2 aircraft on 3 December 2015. 





Figure 15. Examples of ice particle images sampled by the Citation aircraft. 







Figure 16. NPOL radar data obtained at ~1830-1840 UTC 3 December 2015.










Figure 17. NPOL radar data obtained at around 2000 UTC (left) and 2200 UTC (right) on 3 December 2015.




Figure 18. D3R Ku-band radar reflectivity in an RHI directed toward land at about 2200 UTC 3 December 2015